Name:   phil - Subject:   Special For BUTEYE and WIX and MOLDY Date:   11/17/2017 10:30:17 AM

Having had a course in college course long damn time ago that was unoffically called "lying through statistics" - its not hard to manipulate any data based on sample size, location, time of day etc.

Since you want my informed "alabama peckerwood" opinion can  you please provide me some additional numbers -   who was polled men, women, republican, democrat or liberal dumba$$ - what time of day was the call placed 8a-5p? landline or Obamaphone.

A subsample of 649 has been defined as likely voters (LV), with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Landline (445) and cellphone (378) telephone numbers were randomly selected from a statewide voter file of registered Alabama voters using a probability proportionate to size method. This simply means phone numbers are proportionally representative to the number of voters in all regions across the state of Alabama. Fieldwork conducted by Braun Research, Inc. of Princeton, NJ.

Obama lost the state by 22 points in both of his races.

https://andersonrobbins.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/111617_complete_nov_AL_topline_web.pdf

Lets take a little looksie into this poll.  if we look at Q3 where we see 62% strongly support Jones for senate - I think we can ignore the rest of the statements right there.  Alabama who elected Trump by a 22% margin magically becomes 62% democrat on this poll.  with 16% indicating that the would vote for Jones because they dislke Moore.  Right there I would have to say that the sample is not indictive of the state of Alabama.  I can quote some other polls that even after the Roy Moore alligations that show him from anywhere from down by 8 to up by 10. and you want to point to a poll that shows 62% just loooooove like Duggie Baby Killer Jones.

Now lets walk down to question 6 - If the election was today between Moore/Jones with a possible right in.

Likely voters would vote moore 2-1 and registered voters again almost 2-1, but somehow Obama is just loooooved by the voters of Alabama.

Now we can get into some of the meat of the matter.

right below question 24 

likey voters - solid/lean dem 42 solid lean republican 48 with 10 independant.  This is not the makeup of actual voters in Alabama who put Trump in by 22 points.

It could easliy be done just by calling homes in Birmingham.  But you just keep right on quoting those polls that had Hillary up by a landslide.  I dont give a rats rear who put it out.  

You and Archie who love to indicate that Bill, Hillary and Obama are not running for any offices sure are tied up on someone who is not running for office again. Just keep looking at those polls. 

Ill just leave this one here.http://www.businessinsider.com/polls-election-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-2016-11 

An NBC/SurveyMonkey poll of likely national voters released on Monday put Clinton up 6 points over Trump, while a Fox News survey found the former secretary of state 4-points ahead of Trump. An ABC/Washington Post tracking poll released over the weekend showed Clinton with a 5-point lead.

LOL