4/30/2020 9:43:51 AM (updated 4/30/2020 10:20:57 AM)
I would have likely done exactly what they did because I would have had the same faulty information and advice from the "experts" they had. This is really simple. I am not critiquing the past decisions. I get why they did what they did. As I have stated repeatedly, there is little downside for them to over react and nothing but downside if they under react. And I have stated repeatedly that I would not want to be President, a Governor or a Mayor. No easy decisions and political opponents will always take advantage of whatever you do.
What I am doing is critiquing the models that they based those decisions on. But I can tell you that if the virus returns in the fall I would not respond with more Federal shutdowns and I would not believe any of the models. I would defer to individual states to do what makes sense for their particular circumstances. For example, South Dakota didn't shut down their economy and are doing fine (near the lowest in deaths per million citizens). NY and NJ did and they are a train wreck. Let the states decide what makes the most sense and have the Feds focus on helping them when and where they need it the most. But I would not reward them for over reacting. They would need to prove their decisions were prudent and beyond their control and they really need the help.