In my opinion, Moammar Ghadafi is GONE! Now, his military is in disarray because they are split over his orders… and those that obeyed… and those that did not. They cannot enter the fray on the ground. Standoff conventional weaponry, besides being a gory mess, is untenable and unacceptable to the rest of the world. I suspect a leader will arise in the military, resolve its internal issues, and then back off in the name of order… the Egyptian solution.
“…The application of conventional weaponry is noteworthy and will warrant scrutiny — particularly in terms of the targets of the attacks and the rationale behind them. The use of these weapons is more appropriate for other armed entities rather than unarmed protesters. Libyan troops are good at instilling fear, but not good at stabilizing a situation, so the military may not be able to get in on the ground due to lost capability.
The situation remains opaque, but these latest developments combined with recent reports of defections of military units to the demonstrators’ side continue to draw STRATFOR’s attention to the possibility that the regime is fracturing.” - STRATFOR
Stratfor ref:
http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20110220-unrest-libyan-military
Please, Barry Sotero, STAY OUT OF THIS!