Name:   MartiniMan - Subject:   Some positive Wuhan virus news Date:   4/6/2020 9:07:48 AM

Apprently the go to place for virus estimates is the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME).  They are apparently the group that provided estimates of between 120K and 240K deaths.  They also track hospital beds, ICU and ventilator needs.  In their latest projection the numbers for all have gone way down which means the social distancing and other measures are being effective.  They are still projecting shortages of ICU beds and ventilators but nowhere near as many as before.  And of course with issues like these, there are still a pretty wide range in their estimates and they don't take into account geographic variability so those places hardest hit (NY, NJ, MI, etc.) will see the most shortages.  And they are predicting the peak mortality at around 3,000 in mid-April and then we start down the other side of the bell curve.  Let's hope it is as steep on the downward side as it was on the upswing.  Light at the end of the tunnel, hopefully.

Website if you are interested.

http://www.healthdata.org/