Lake Shelbyville Topics: Mythbuster?
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Name:   MartiniMan The author of this post is registered as a member - Email Member
Subject:   Mythbuster?
Date:   1/20/2008 11:09:22 PM

My problem with their predictions is two fold. First, if their methodology was so accurate why were they so wrong in 2006? It is disingenuous to only consider years where they were right as proof they know what they are talking about. Even a blind squirrel finds an acorn now and then...it doesn't mean they can see. As a matter of fact, they rely on complex models whose inputs come from widely scattered data points and the inaccuracy is proof positive that we cannot totally rely on the predictions. Its just not that simple and cherry picking good years and ignoring the ones they blow is intellectually dishonest.

Second, why does anyone think hurricanes have anything to do with global warming, anyway? Anyone with a modicum of climatological knowledge would understand that hurricane activity is driven by ocean currents which are not subject to yearly variations in global temperatures (look up El Nino and La Nina). The fact is that the science behind the change in global temperatures is far from settled despite the nonsense we hear in the media and from alarmists (I refer to a recent statement by over 400 highly qualified climate/physics/geophysics scientists that dispute the alleged "consensus", which in the scientific realm is a meaningless term anyway. Remember, there was once a scientific consensus that the earth was at the center of the solar system!).

Having said all that, I hope and pray the drought is over and we get lots of rain, even a tropical storm or two and Lake Martin fills to the brim!!!
Other messages in this thread:View Entire Thread
water level - rock - 1/19/2008 12:26:26 PM
     water level - Ulysses E. McGill - 1/19/2008 1:01:11 PM
          water level - Feb - 1/19/2008 1:28:06 PM
               Prediction - Osms - 1/19/2008 1:35:11 PM
     Based on Past 19 Days Trend - Maverick - 1/19/2008 1:52:39 PM
          Party-Pooper.... - Ulysses E. McGill - 1/19/2008 2:23:00 PM
               No Realistic but ----------- - Maverick - 1/19/2008 2:48:05 PM
                    Yep - Ulysses E. McGill - 1/19/2008 2:53:19 PM
                         Observation/Rant - Walter - 1/20/2008 8:08:59 AM
                              Observation/Rant - bishop812 - 1/20/2008 8:18:33 AM
                              Put Most Americans on Wellfare - Feb - 1/20/2008 9:43:28 AM
                              Mythbuster? - UncleSam - 1/20/2008 1:23:53 PM
                                   Mythbuster? - Walter - 1/20/2008 2:33:34 PM
                                        Don't change the argument. - UncleSam - 1/20/2008 3:46:39 PM
                                             I did not change it / you did - Walter - 1/20/2008 4:23:46 PM
                                   Interesting link - Walter - 1/20/2008 2:56:00 PM
                                        Interesting link - Walter - 1/20/2008 3:00:23 PM
                                        Interesting link - Walter - 1/20/2008 3:03:09 PM
                                             Interesting link - Walter - 1/20/2008 3:04:33 PM
                                        Interesting link - UncleSam - 1/20/2008 3:53:33 PM
                                             Interesting link - Walter - 1/20/2008 4:27:56 PM
                                             Interesting link - Walter - 1/20/2008 4:35:21 PM
                                                  bmk - BigFoot - 1/20/2008 4:38:39 PM
                                             Interesting link - Walter - 1/20/2008 4:35:48 PM
                                             Interesting link - Walter - 1/20/2008 4:36:09 PM
                                             Jury is still out - Walter - 1/20/2008 4:38:19 PM
                                                  Jury is still out - Clearwater Marine - 1/20/2008 4:47:39 PM
                                                       Let's ask Al Gore - Walter - 1/20/2008 5:05:42 PM
                                                            Another myth that will not die - MythBuster - 1/21/2008 3:46:30 PM
                                                                 Another myth that will not die - Lady - 1/21/2008 6:17:16 PM
                                                                 Another myth that will not die - Walter - 1/21/2008 9:58:28 PM
                                                                      Another myth that will not die - Lakeman - 1/22/2008 11:49:34 AM
                                   Mythbuster? - MartiniMan - 1/20/2008 11:09:22 PM
                                        Mythbuster? - Walter - 1/21/2008 8:39:21 AM
                                             Mythbuster? - MartiniMan - 1/22/2008 12:46:13 PM
                                                  Mythbuster? - Walter - 1/22/2008 9:15:16 PM
                                                       Mythbuster? - rude evin - 1/22/2008 10:00:52 PM


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